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@scottmelker

The Wolf Of All Streets · YouTube / education · x.com/scottmelker · #12 of 40 ranked

Hit rate 52 % (95 % interval 36–68 %) on 50 measured episodes; the best simple baseline on the same dates hit 63 % (always bullish). Verdict: not distinguishable from the simple baselines.

Stance on BTC 7 days ago: no current view. How we measure →

Predictive52 %

95 % interval 36–68 % · n 50 · best baseline 63 %

not distinguishable from the simple baselines
Economic+0.2 pp

return of following the calls vs always-bullish, per call · 95 % −2.4 pp to +2.8 pp · n 55

no clear difference from always-bullish
Integrity0

of 119 calls later unavailable · promotions 4

By horizon

GroupMeasuredHit rate95 % interval
Stated horizon, 7 days1100 %21–100 %
Stated horizon, 30 days450 %15–85 %
No horizon, tested at 7 days2850 %33–67 %
No horizon, tested at 30 days3352 %35–68 %

Calls (older than 7 days)

DateCallHorizonResultPost
30 Oct 2026BTC: bottom is in7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: pendingpost ↗
30 Oct 2026BTC: down7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: pendingpost ↗
30 Oct 2026crypto market: down7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: pendingpost ↗
30 Oct 2026altcoins: up7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: pendingpost ↗
15 Oct 2026crypto market: range7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: misspost ↗
14 Oct 2026BTC: down30 d30 d: hitpost ↗
14 Oct 2026BTC: bottom is in7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: misspost ↗
14 Oct 2026SOL: up7 d7 d: no clear movepost ↗
30 Sep 2026altcoins: up7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: misspost ↗
29 Sep 2026crypto market: up> 60 dlong-term (not scored)post ↗
29 Sep 2026BTC: up7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: no clear movepost ↗
14 Sep 2026crypto market: down7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: no clear movepost ↗
14 Sep 2026BTC: up7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: no clear movepost ↗
14 Sep 2026crypto market: up7 d7 d: hitpost ↗
31 Aug 2026BTC: up7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: hitpost ↗
31 Aug 2026crypto market: down7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: misspost ↗
31 Aug 2026BTC: down7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: misspost ↗
31 Aug 2026BTC: range30 d30 d: misspost ↗
30 Aug 2026crypto market: up7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: hitpost ↗
30 Aug 2026BTC: up7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: no clear movepost ↗
15 Aug 2026crypto market: bottom is in7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: hitpost ↗
15 Aug 2026crypto market: up7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: hitpost ↗
14 Aug 2026crypto market: bottom is in7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: hitpost ↗
13 Aug 2026BTC: up> 60 dlong-term (not scored)post ↗
31 Jul 2026BTC: bottom is in7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: hitpost ↗
30 Jul 2026ETH: up7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: hitpost ↗
30 Jul 2026BTC: up7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: hitpost ↗
30 Jul 2026BTC: range7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: misspost ↗
30 Jun 2026BTC: bottom is in30 d30 d: hitpost ↗
30 Jun 2026BTC: range30 d30 d: misspost ↗
30 Jun 2026BTC: up7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: hitpost ↗
29 Jun 2026BTC: down7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: misspost ↗
15 Jun 2026BTC: bottom is in7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: misspost ↗
15 Jun 2026BTC: up7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: no clear movepost ↗
15 Jun 2026crypto market: bottom is in7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: misspost ↗
14 Jun 2026crypto market: up> 60 dlong-term (not scored)post ↗
12 Jun 2026BTC: bottom is in7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: misspost ↗
31 May 2026SOL: up7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: misspost ↗
28 May 2026ETH: up7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: misspost ↗
28 May 2026BTC: down7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: hitpost ↗

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Not financial advice. These are measurements of past public posts, not accusations or endorsements.