← All macro influencers

@rektcapital

Rekt Capital · Trader / TA · x.com/rektcapital · #36 of 40 ranked

Hit rate 37 % (95 % interval 28–48 %) on 102 measured episodes; the best simple baseline on the same dates hit 48 % (coin flip). Verdict: below the simple baselines.

Stance on BTC 7 days ago: no current view. How we measure →

Predictive37 %

95 % interval 28–48 % · n 102 · best baseline 48 %

below the simple baselines
Economic+0.3 pp

return of following the calls vs always-bullish, per call · 95 % −2.8 pp to +3.4 pp · n 101

no clear difference from always-bullish
Integrity0

of 283 calls later unavailable · promotions 26

By horizon

GroupMeasuredHit rate95 % interval
Stated horizon, 7 days633 %10–70 %
Stated horizon, 30 days560 %23–88 %
No horizon, tested at 7 days6939 %28–51 %
No horizon, tested at 30 days7333 %23–44 %

Calls (older than 7 days)

DateCallHorizonResultPost
6 Nov 2026BTC: down30 d30 d: pendingpost ↗
5 Nov 2026BTC: up7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: pendingpost ↗
5 Nov 2026BTC: down7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: pendingpost ↗
5 Nov 2026BTC: bottom is in7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: pendingpost ↗
31 Oct 2026BTC: down7 + 30 d7 d: pending30 d: pendingpost ↗
31 Oct 2026BTC: bottom is in7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: pendingpost ↗
30 Oct 2026BTC: down7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: pendingpost ↗
30 Oct 2026BTC: down7 d7 d: no clear movepost ↗
30 Oct 2026BTC: bottom is in7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: pendingpost ↗
30 Oct 2026BTC: range7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: pendingpost ↗
30 Oct 2026BTC: up7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: pendingpost ↗
30 Oct 2026BTC: down7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: pendingpost ↗
15 Oct 2026BTC: down7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: hitpost ↗
15 Oct 2026altcoins: down7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: hitpost ↗
15 Oct 2026BTC: down7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: hitpost ↗
15 Oct 2026BTC: range7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: misspost ↗
15 Oct 2026BTC: down7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: hitpost ↗
15 Oct 2026BTC: down7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: pendingpost ↗
15 Oct 2026BTC: down7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: hitpost ↗
14 Oct 2026BTC: range7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: misspost ↗
14 Oct 2026BTC: range7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: misspost ↗
14 Oct 2026altcoins: range7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: misspost ↗
14 Oct 2026BTC: range7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: misspost ↗
12 Oct 2026altcoins: range7 + 30 d7 d: condition not met30 d: condition not metpost ↗
12 Oct 2026BTC: down7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: hitpost ↗
11 Oct 2026altcoins: up7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: misspost ↗
30 Sep 2026BTC: up7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: misspost ↗
28 Sep 2026altcoins: bottom is in7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: misspost ↗
28 Sep 2026BTC: up7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: pendingpost ↗
24 Sep 2026BTC: down7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: no clear movepost ↗
24 Sep 2026BTC: up7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: no clear movepost ↗
24 Sep 2026BTC: up7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: no clear movepost ↗
23 Sep 2026BTC: up7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: no clear movepost ↗
23 Sep 2026BTC: up7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: no clear movepost ↗
15 Sep 2026BTC: down7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: misspost ↗
15 Sep 2026BTC: down7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: no clear movepost ↗
14 Sep 2026BTC: down7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: no clear movepost ↗
13 Sep 2026BTC: up7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: no clear movepost ↗
13 Sep 2026BTC: down7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: misspost ↗
12 Sep 2026BTC: down7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: misspost ↗

Members see every account's current stance and the consensus live, without the 7-day delay.

Request access

Not financial advice. These are measurements of past public posts, not accusations or endorsements.