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@gainzy222

gainzy · Memecoin KOL · x.com/gainzy222 · #9 of 40 ranked

Hit rate 54 % (95 % interval 37–70 %) on 45 measured episodes; the best simple baseline on the same dates hit 54 % (7-day trend). Verdict: not distinguishable from the simple baselines.

Stance on BTC 7 days ago: no current view. How we measure →

Predictive54 %

95 % interval 37–70 % · n 45 · best baseline 54 %

not distinguishable from the simple baselines
Economic+3.7 pp

return of following the calls vs always-bullish, per call · 95 % +0.9 pp to +6.5 pp · n 52

adds value over always-bullish
Integrity0

of 110 calls later unavailable · promotions 4

By horizon

GroupMeasuredHit rate95 % interval
Stated horizon, 7 days1100 %21–100 %
Stated horizon, 30 days0––
No horizon, tested at 7 days3647 %32–63 %
No horizon, tested at 30 days2759 %41–75 %

Calls (older than 7 days)

DateCallHorizonResultPost
8 Nov 2026crypto market: up7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: pendingpost ↗
7 Nov 2026ETH: down7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: pendingpost ↗
6 Nov 2026altcoins: up7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: pendingpost ↗
3 Nov 2026meme coins: down7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: pendingpost ↗
2 Nov 2026ETH: up7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: pendingpost ↗
29 Oct 2026crypto market: down7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: pendingpost ↗
28 Oct 2026crypto market: up7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: pendingpost ↗
24 Oct 2026crypto market: down30 d30 d: pendingpost ↗
21 Oct 2026altcoins: up7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: pendingpost ↗
15 Oct 2026crypto market: range7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: misspost ↗
11 Oct 2026meme coins: up7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: misspost ↗
8 Oct 2026meme coins: down7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: hitpost ↗
6 Oct 2026altcoins: up7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: misspost ↗
5 Oct 2026meme coins: up7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: misspost ↗
1 Oct 2026meme coins: down7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: hitpost ↗
23 Sep 2026altcoins: down7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: hitpost ↗
19 Sep 2026BTC: up7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: no clear movepost ↗
14 Sep 2026crypto market: up7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: no clear movepost ↗
2 Sep 2026SOL: up> 60 dlong-term (not scored)post ↗
19 Aug 2026altcoins: up7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: hitpost ↗
15 Aug 2026crypto market: up7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: hitpost ↗
6 Aug 2026meme coins: up7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: hitpost ↗
3 Aug 2026altcoins: up7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: hitpost ↗
3 Aug 2026BTC: up7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: hitpost ↗
20 Jul 2026SOL: up7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: hitpost ↗
20 Jul 2026ETH: up7 + 30 d7 d: condition not met30 d: condition not metpost ↗
19 Jul 2026meme coins: up7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: no clear movepost ↗
13 Jul 2026altcoins: down7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: no clear movepost ↗
1 Jul 2026meme coins: top is in7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: misspost ↗
26 Jun 2026altcoins: bottom is in7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: no clear movepost ↗
23 Jun 2026crypto market: up7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: no clear movepost ↗
18 Jun 2026ETH: range7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: hitpost ↗
5 Jun 2026altcoins: up7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: hitpost ↗
26 May 2026altcoins: top is in7 d7 d: hitpost ↗
25 May 2026meme coins: up7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: misspost ↗
20 May 2026ETH: down7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: hitpost ↗
15 May 2026altcoins: down7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: hitpost ↗
10 May 2026crypto market: up7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: misspost ↗
8 May 2026crypto market: range7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: misspost ↗
22 Apr 2026crypto market: up7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: no clear movepost ↗

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Not financial advice. These are measurements of past public posts, not accusations or endorsements.