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@frankdegods

Frank · Memecoin KOL · x.com/frankdegods · #40 of 40 ranked

Hit rate 33 % (95 % interval 19–52 %) on 35 measured episodes; the best simple baseline on the same dates hit 51 % (7-day trend). Verdict: not distinguishable from the simple baselines.

Stance on BTC 7 days ago: no current view. How we measure →

Predictive33 %

95 % interval 19–52 % · n 35 · best baseline 51 %

not distinguishable from the simple baselines
Economic+1.5 pp

return of following the calls vs always-bullish, per call · 95 % −2.4 pp to +5.3 pp · n 41

no clear difference from always-bullish
Integrity0

of 91 calls later unavailable · promotions 0

By horizon

GroupMeasuredHit rate95 % interval
Stated horizon, 7 days10 %0–79 %
Stated horizon, 30 days10 %0–79 %
No horizon, tested at 7 days2635 %19–54 %
No horizon, tested at 30 days2737 %22–56 %

Calls (older than 7 days)

DateCallHorizonResultPost
26 Oct 2026crypto market: bottom is in30 d30 d: pendingpost ↗
23 Oct 2026crypto market: up7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: pendingpost ↗
15 Oct 2026altcoins: up> 60 dlong-term (not scored)post ↗
12 Oct 2026SOL: up7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: misspost ↗
9 Oct 2026altcoins: down7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: hitpost ↗
6 Oct 2026BTC: up7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: misspost ↗
5 Oct 2026crypto market: up7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: misspost ↗
5 Oct 2026BTC: down7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: hitpost ↗
4 Oct 2026BTC: range7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: misspost ↗
14 Sep 2026meme coins: up7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: no clear movepost ↗
7 Sep 2026SOL: up7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: hitpost ↗
4 Sep 2026altcoins: up7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: hitpost ↗
30 Aug 2026meme coins: up7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: no clear movepost ↗
28 Aug 2026crypto market: up7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: hitpost ↗
31 Jul 2026crypto market: down7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: misspost ↗
9 Jul 2026crypto market: bottom is in7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: no clear movepost ↗
9 Jul 2026altcoins: up7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: no clear movepost ↗
30 Jun 2026crypto market: up7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: hitpost ↗
30 Jun 2026crypto market: down7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: misspost ↗
25 Jun 2026BTC: up> 60 dlong-term (not scored)post ↗
24 Jun 2026crypto market: up7 d7 d: no clear movepost ↗
5 Jun 2026crypto market: bottom is in7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: no clear movepost ↗
4 Jun 2026BTC: down7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: no clear movepost ↗
28 May 2026BTC: up7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: misspost ↗
28 May 2026BTC: down7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: hitpost ↗
28 May 2026BTC: up7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: misspost ↗
12 May 2026crypto market: up7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: misspost ↗
8 May 2026SOL: down7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: hitpost ↗
6 May 2026meme coins: up7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: misspost ↗
5 May 2026crypto market: bottom is in7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: misspost ↗
5 May 2026crypto market: up30 d30 d: misspost ↗
15 Apr 2026crypto market: down7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: no clear movepost ↗
9 Apr 2026crypto market: up7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: hitpost ↗
6 Apr 2026crypto market: range> 60 dlong-term (not scored)post ↗
3 Apr 2026crypto market: down7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: misspost ↗
24 Feb 2026crypto market: up7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: no clear movepost ↗
24 Feb 2026crypto market: bottom is in7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: no clear movepost ↗
24 Feb 2026BTC: up7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: no clear movepost ↗
31 Jan 2026BTC: bottom is in7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: misspost ↗
29 Jan 2026crypto market: up7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: misspost ↗

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Not financial advice. These are measurements of past public posts, not accusations or endorsements.