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@coinbureau

Coin Bureau · YouTube / education · x.com/coinbureau · #26 of 40 ranked

Hit rate 44 % (95 % interval 31–58 %) on 58 measured episodes; the best simple baseline on the same dates hit 52 % (always bullish). Verdict: not distinguishable from the simple baselines.

Stance on BTC 7 days ago: no current view. How we measure →

Predictive44 %

95 % interval 31–58 % · n 58 · best baseline 52 %

not distinguishable from the simple baselines
Economic−0.2 pp

return of following the calls vs always-bullish, per call · 95 % −3.0 pp to +2.7 pp · n 73

no clear difference from always-bullish
Integrity0

of 144 calls later unavailable · promotions 3

By horizon

GroupMeasuredHit rate95 % interval
Stated horizon, 7 days367 %21–94 %
Stated horizon, 30 days250 %9–91 %
No horizon, tested at 7 days4042 %29–58 %
No horizon, tested at 30 days4141 %28–57 %

Calls (older than 7 days)

DateCallHorizonResultPost
30 Oct 2026crypto market: down7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: pendingpost ↗
29 Oct 2026BTC: down7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: pendingpost ↗
15 Oct 2026crypto market: down30 d30 d: hitpost ↗
15 Oct 2026BTC: up7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: misspost ↗
14 Oct 2026BTC: down7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: hitpost ↗
30 Sep 2026crypto market: up7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: misspost ↗
30 Sep 2026BTC: bottom is in7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: misspost ↗
28 Sep 2026BTC: up7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: no clear movepost ↗
15 Sep 2026crypto market: up7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: hitpost ↗
15 Sep 2026crypto market: down7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: misspost ↗
14 Sep 2026altcoins: up7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: no clear movepost ↗
12 Sep 2026crypto market: up7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: hitpost ↗
12 Sep 2026crypto market: bottom is in7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: no clear movepost ↗
11 Sep 2026crypto market: down7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: misspost ↗
31 Aug 2026crypto market: up7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: hitpost ↗
31 Aug 2026BTC: up7 d7 d: no clear movepost ↗
29 Aug 2026crypto market: down7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: misspost ↗
15 Aug 2026BTC: up7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: hitpost ↗
13 Aug 2026BTC: down7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: misspost ↗
31 Jul 2026BTC: up7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: hitpost ↗
31 Jul 2026BTC: range7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: misspost ↗
31 Jul 2026BTC: down7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: misspost ↗
30 Jul 2026ETH: down7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: misspost ↗
30 Jul 2026crypto market: up7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: hitpost ↗
30 Jul 2026BTC: up7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: hitpost ↗
15 Jul 2026BTC: down7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: no clear movepost ↗
15 Jul 2026ETH: up7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: no clear movepost ↗
15 Jul 2026crypto market: up> 60 dlong-term (not scored)post ↗
30 Jun 2026meme coins: down7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: no clear movepost ↗
29 Jun 2026crypto market: up> 60 dlong-term (not scored)post ↗
28 Jun 2026BTC: down7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: misspost ↗
15 Jun 2026ETH: down7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: no clear movepost ↗
14 Jun 2026BTC: up7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: no clear movepost ↗
14 Jun 2026crypto market: up7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: no clear movepost ↗
31 May 2026BTC: range7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: misspost ↗
30 May 2026BTC: down7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: hitpost ↗
30 May 2026altcoins: up7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: misspost ↗
29 May 2026BTC: up7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: misspost ↗
15 May 2026altcoins: down7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: hitpost ↗
14 May 2026BTC: up7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: misspost ↗

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Not financial advice. These are measurements of past public posts, not accusations or endorsements.