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@blknoiz06

Ansem 🐂🀄️ · Memecoin KOL · x.com/blknoiz06 · #2 of 40 ranked

Hit rate 58 % (95 % interval 43–73 %) on 51 measured episodes; the best simple baseline on the same dates hit 49 % (coin flip). Verdict: not distinguishable from the simple baselines.

Stance on BTC 7 days ago: no current view. How we measure →

Predictive58 %

95 % interval 43–73 % · n 51 · best baseline 49 %

not distinguishable from the simple baselines
Economic+2.5 pp

return of following the calls vs always-bullish, per call · 95 % +0.3 pp to +4.7 pp · n 60

adds value over always-bullish
Integrity0

of 133 calls later unavailable · promotions 3

By horizon

GroupMeasuredHit rate95 % interval
Stated horizon, 7 days425 %5–70 %
Stated horizon, 30 days1100 %21–100 %
No horizon, tested at 7 days3557 %41–72 %
No horizon, tested at 30 days3266 %48–80 %

Calls (older than 7 days)

DateCallHorizonResultPost
30 Oct 2026altcoins: down7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: pendingpost ↗
30 Oct 2026BTC: down7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: pendingpost ↗
30 Oct 2026ETH: down7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: pendingpost ↗
29 Oct 2026meme coins: up7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: pendingpost ↗
13 Oct 2026BTC: up7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: misspost ↗
9 Oct 2026meme coins: up7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: misspost ↗
27 Sep 2026altcoins: up7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: misspost ↗
27 Sep 2026SOL: up7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: misspost ↗
26 Sep 2026meme coins: down7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: hitpost ↗
26 Sep 2026BTC: up7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: no clear movepost ↗
15 Sep 2026crypto market: up7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: no clear movepost ↗
12 Sep 2026meme coins: up7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: no clear movepost ↗
12 Sep 2026crypto market: down7 d7 d: misspost ↗
12 Sep 2026altcoins: up7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: no clear movepost ↗
11 Sep 2026altcoins: bottom is in7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: hitpost ↗
11 Sep 2026SOL: up7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: hitpost ↗
11 Sep 2026BTC: bottom is in7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: no clear movepost ↗
9 Sep 2026meme coins: bottom is in7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: no clear movepost ↗
31 Aug 2026BTC: up7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: no clear movepost ↗
30 Aug 2026meme coins: up> 60 dlong-term (not scored)post ↗
29 Aug 2026altcoins: up7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: hitpost ↗
29 Aug 2026crypto market: up7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: hitpost ↗
15 Aug 2026crypto market: bottom is in7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: hitpost ↗
14 Aug 2026altcoins: up7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: hitpost ↗
14 Aug 2026meme coins: bottom is in7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: hitpost ↗
13 Aug 2026crypto market: up7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: hitpost ↗
31 Jul 2026altcoins: bottom is in7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: hitpost ↗
31 Jul 2026altcoins: range7 d7 d: hitpost ↗
31 Jul 2026BTC: up7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: hitpost ↗
30 Jul 2026crypto market: bottom is in7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: hitpost ↗
30 Jul 2026meme coins: up7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: hitpost ↗
30 Jul 2026SOL: up> 60 dlong-term (not scored)post ↗
30 Jul 2026ETH: up> 60 dlong-term (not scored)post ↗
30 Jul 2026altcoins: up7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: hitpost ↗
15 Jul 2026meme coins: up7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: no clear movepost ↗
15 Jul 2026crypto market: bottom is in7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: no clear movepost ↗
14 Jul 2026crypto market: up> 60 dlong-term (not scored)post ↗
14 Jul 2026SOL: up7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: no clear movepost ↗
30 Jun 2026meme coins: up7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: no clear movepost ↗
30 Jun 2026altcoins: up7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: no clear movepost ↗

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Not financial advice. These are measurements of past public posts, not accusations or endorsements.