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@WuBlockchain

Wu Blockchain · News / aggregator · x.com/WuBlockchain · #37 of 40 ranked

Hit rate 34 % (95 % interval 18–56 %) on 26 measured episodes; the best simple baseline on the same dates hit 49 % (coin flip). Verdict: not distinguishable from the simple baselines.

Stance on BTC 7 days ago: no current view. How we measure →

Predictive34 %

95 % interval 18–56 % · n 26 · best baseline 49 %

not distinguishable from the simple baselines
Economic−0.1 pp

return of following the calls vs always-bullish, per call · 95 % −7.8 pp to +7.6 pp · n 27

no clear difference from always-bullish
Integrity0

of 61 calls later unavailable · promotions 0

By horizon

GroupMeasuredHit rate95 % interval
Stated horizon, 7 days367 %21–94 %
Stated horizon, 30 days20 %0–66 %
No horizon, tested at 7 days1724 %10–47 %
No horizon, tested at 30 days1443 %21–67 %

Calls (older than 7 days)

DateCallHorizonResultPost
30 Oct 2026SOL: down7 d7 d: hitpost ↗
30 Oct 2026altcoins: down7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: pendingpost ↗
29 Oct 2026crypto market: down7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: pendingpost ↗
15 Oct 2026altcoins: up7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: misspost ↗
14 Oct 2026BTC: up7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: misspost ↗
13 Oct 2026crypto market: up30 d30 d: misspost ↗
14 Sep 2026meme coins: down7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: no clear movepost ↗
31 Aug 2026ETH: up> 60 dlong-term (not scored)post ↗
29 Aug 2026BTC: up7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: hitpost ↗
14 Aug 2026BTC: down7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: misspost ↗
31 Jul 2026crypto market: up> 60 dlong-term (not scored)post ↗
31 Jul 2026BTC: range7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: misspost ↗
14 Jul 2026crypto market: range7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: hitpost ↗
14 Jul 2026BTC: up30 d30 d: no clear movepost ↗
13 Jul 2026SOL: up7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: no clear movepost ↗
30 Jun 2026BTC: down7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: misspost ↗
30 Jun 2026altcoins: down7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: no clear movepost ↗
15 Jun 2026BTC: bottom is in7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: misspost ↗
30 May 2026BTC: down7 d7 d: hitpost ↗
29 May 2026ETH: down7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: hitpost ↗
29 May 2026crypto market: up7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: misspost ↗
30 Apr 2026altcoins: down7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: no clear movepost ↗
29 Apr 2026BTC: up> 60 dlong-term (not scored)post ↗
29 Apr 2026ETH: up> 60 dlong-term (not scored)post ↗
29 Apr 2026SOL: up> 60 dlong-term (not scored)post ↗
29 Apr 2026BTC: down7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: no clear movepost ↗
15 Apr 2026BTC: range7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: hitpost ↗
14 Apr 2026BTC: up7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: hitpost ↗
12 Mar 2026BTC: down7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: no clear movepost ↗
28 Feb 2026BTC: up> 60 dlong-term (not scored)post ↗
27 Feb 2026BTC: down7 + 30 d7 d: condition not met30 d: condition not metpost ↗
14 Feb 2026BTC: bottom is in7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: no clear movepost ↗
13 Feb 2026BTC: up> 60 dlong-term (not scored)post ↗
30 Jan 2026BTC: up30 d30 d: misspost ↗
14 Jan 2026BTC: up7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: misspost ↗
13 Jan 2026altcoins: down7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: hitpost ↗
30 Dec 2025BTC: up> 60 dlong-term (not scored)post ↗
29 Dec 2025BTC: range> 60 dlong-term (not scored)post ↗
29 Dec 2025crypto market: down7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: no clear movepost ↗
29 Dec 2025altcoins: down7 d7 d: misspost ↗

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Not financial advice. These are measurements of past public posts, not accusations or endorsements.