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@DeItaone

*Walter Bloomberg · News / aggregator · x.com/DeItaone · #13 of 40 ranked

Hit rate 52 % (95 % interval 28–74 %) on 21 measured episodes; the best simple baseline on the same dates hit 60 % (7-day trend). Verdict: not distinguishable from the simple baselines.

Stance on BTC 7 days ago: no current view. How we measure →

Predictive52 %

95 % interval 28–74 % · n 21 · best baseline 60 %

not distinguishable from the simple baselines
Economic+0.4 pp

return of following the calls vs always-bullish, per call · 95 % −2.3 pp to +3.1 pp · n 30

no clear difference from always-bullish
Integrity0

of 65 calls later unavailable · promotions 0

By horizon

GroupMeasuredHit rate95 % interval
Stated horizon, 7 days0––
Stated horizon, 30 days10 %0–79 %
No horizon, tested at 7 days1250 %25–75 %
No horizon, tested at 30 days1560 %36–80 %

Calls (older than 7 days)

DateCallHorizonResultPost
28 Oct 2026BTC: down7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: pendingpost ↗
15 Oct 2026altcoins: bottom is in30 d30 d: misspost ↗
14 Oct 2026crypto market: range7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: misspost ↗
12 Oct 2026crypto market: up> 60 dlong-term (not scored)post ↗
30 Sep 2026crypto market: down7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: hitpost ↗
29 Sep 2026BTC: up7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: no clear movepost ↗
10 Sep 2026crypto market: down7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: no clear movepost ↗
26 Aug 2026BTC: up7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: hitpost ↗
26 Aug 2026BTC: range7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: hitpost ↗
11 Aug 2026ETH: up7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: hitpost ↗
30 Jul 2026crypto market: up7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: hitpost ↗
7 Jul 2026crypto market: bottom is in7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: no clear movepost ↗
30 Jun 2026BTC: down> 60 dlong-term (not scored)post ↗
26 Jun 2026crypto market: up7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: hitpost ↗
26 Jun 2026BTC: bottom is in7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: no clear movepost ↗
25 Jun 2026crypto market: down7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: misspost ↗
15 Jun 2026BTC: up7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: no clear movepost ↗
11 Jun 2026crypto market: up7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: no clear movepost ↗
28 May 2026ETH: up> 60 dlong-term (not scored)post ↗
20 May 2026BTC: up7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: misspost ↗
11 May 2026crypto market: up7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: misspost ↗
28 Apr 2026BTC: down7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: no clear movepost ↗
15 Apr 2026BTC: up7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: no clear movepost ↗
14 Apr 2026crypto market: down> 60 dlong-term (not scored)post ↗
26 Mar 2026crypto market: down7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: misspost ↗
25 Mar 2026BTC: up7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: hitpost ↗
24 Mar 2026BTC: bottom is in> 60 dlong-term (not scored)post ↗
24 Mar 2026altcoins: up> 60 dlong-term (not scored)post ↗
27 Feb 2026BTC: down7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: no clear movepost ↗
25 Feb 2026BTC: up7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: no clear movepost ↗
13 Feb 2026crypto market: up7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: no clear movepost ↗
12 Feb 2026ETH: down7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: no clear movepost ↗
11 Feb 2026BTC: down7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: no clear movepost ↗
11 Feb 2026BTC: up7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: no clear movepost ↗
31 Jan 2026BTC: down7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: hitpost ↗
14 Jan 2026crypto market: up> 60 dlong-term (not scored)post ↗
13 Jan 2026ETH: up> 60 dlong-term (not scored)post ↗
12 Jan 2026BTC: down7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: hitpost ↗
12 Jan 2026BTC: up7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: misspost ↗
23 Dec 2025crypto market: down7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: no clear movepost ↗

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Not financial advice. These are measurements of past public posts, not accusations or endorsements.