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@DaanCrypto

Daan Crypto Trades · Trader / TA · x.com/DaanCrypto · #29 of 40 ranked

Hit rate 44 % (95 % interval 36–52 %) on 171 measured episodes; the best simple baseline on the same dates hit 50 % (always bullish). Verdict: not distinguishable from the simple baselines.

Stance on BTC 7 days ago: no current view. How we measure →

Predictive44 %

95 % interval 36–52 % · n 171 · best baseline 50 %

not distinguishable from the simple baselines
Economic+0.9 pp

return of following the calls vs always-bullish, per call · 95 % −1.4 pp to +3.2 pp · n 114

no clear difference from always-bullish
Integrity0

of 376 calls later unavailable · promotions 1

By horizon

GroupMeasuredHit rate95 % interval
Stated horizon, 7 days1850 %29–71 %
Stated horizon, 30 days367 %21–94 %
No horizon, tested at 7 days12341 %32–49 %
No horizon, tested at 30 days12043 %35–52 %

Calls (older than 7 days)

DateCallHorizonResultPost
8 Nov 2026ETH: range7 + 30 d7 d: pending30 d: pendingpost ↗
8 Nov 2026BTC: down7 d7 d: hitpost ↗
8 Nov 2026crypto market: range7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: pendingpost ↗
7 Nov 2026BTC: range7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: pendingpost ↗
6 Nov 2026BTC: up7 + 30 d7 d: pending30 d: pendingpost ↗
6 Nov 2026altcoins: range7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: pendingpost ↗
6 Nov 2026crypto market: up7 d7 d: misspost ↗
6 Nov 2026ETH: range7 + 30 d7 d: pending30 d: pendingpost ↗
6 Nov 2026altcoins: range7 + 30 d7 d: pending30 d: pendingpost ↗
5 Nov 2026BTC: down7 + 30 d7 d: pending30 d: pendingpost ↗
5 Nov 2026BTC: range7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: pendingpost ↗
5 Nov 2026ETH: down7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: pendingpost ↗
5 Nov 2026BTC: down7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: pendingpost ↗
5 Nov 2026BTC: up7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: pendingpost ↗
5 Nov 2026crypto market: top is in7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: pendingpost ↗
4 Nov 2026ETH: up7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: pendingpost ↗
31 Oct 2026SOL: range7 d7 d: misspost ↗
31 Oct 2026crypto market: down7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: pendingpost ↗
30 Oct 2026BTC: range7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: pendingpost ↗
30 Oct 2026ETH: range7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: pendingpost ↗
30 Oct 2026BTC: range7 d7 d: misspost ↗
29 Oct 2026BTC: up7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: pendingpost ↗
29 Oct 2026altcoins: down7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: pendingpost ↗
29 Oct 2026BTC: range7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: pendingpost ↗
28 Oct 2026BTC: up7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: pendingpost ↗
28 Oct 2026ETH: up7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: pendingpost ↗
27 Oct 2026BTC: range7 d7 d: misspost ↗
15 Oct 2026BTC: up7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: misspost ↗
15 Oct 2026ETH: up7 + 30 d7 d: condition not met30 d: condition not metpost ↗
15 Oct 2026ETH: range7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: pendingpost ↗
15 Oct 2026BTC: down7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: hitpost ↗
15 Oct 2026altcoins: range7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: misspost ↗
15 Oct 2026ETH: range7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: misspost ↗
14 Oct 2026BTC: range7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: misspost ↗
14 Oct 2026BTC: up7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: misspost ↗
14 Oct 2026ETH: up7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: misspost ↗
14 Oct 2026BTC: range7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: misspost ↗
14 Oct 2026BTC: up7 d7 d: no clear movepost ↗
13 Oct 2026BTC: up7 + 30 d7 d: condition not met30 d: condition not metpost ↗
13 Oct 2026ETH: range7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: misspost ↗

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Not financial advice. These are measurements of past public posts, not accusations or endorsements.