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@CryptoTony__

Crypto Tony · Trader / TA · x.com/CryptoTony__ · #20 of 40 ranked

Hit rate 47 % (95 % interval 37–57 %) on 133 measured episodes; the best simple baseline on the same dates hit 57 % (always bullish). Verdict: not distinguishable from the simple baselines.

Stance on BTC 7 days ago: no current view. How we measure →

Predictive47 %

95 % interval 37–57 % · n 133 · best baseline 57 %

not distinguishable from the simple baselines
Economic−0.7 pp

return of following the calls vs always-bullish, per call · 95 % −2.7 pp to +1.4 pp · n 152

no clear difference from always-bullish
Integrity0

of 312 calls later unavailable · promotions 7

By horizon

GroupMeasuredHit rate95 % interval
Stated horizon, 7 days850 %22–78 %
Stated horizon, 30 days1100 %21–100 %
No horizon, tested at 7 days9250 %40–60 %
No horizon, tested at 30 days8842 %32–52 %

Calls (older than 7 days)

DateCallHorizonResultPost
31 Oct 2026ETH: up7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: pendingpost ↗
31 Oct 2026crypto market: down7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: pendingpost ↗
30 Oct 2026BTC: range7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: pendingpost ↗
30 Oct 2026BTC: down7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: pendingpost ↗
30 Oct 2026BTC: bottom is in7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: pendingpost ↗
30 Oct 2026BTC: up7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: pendingpost ↗
30 Oct 2026SOL: up7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: pendingpost ↗
30 Oct 2026ETH: down7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: pendingpost ↗
30 Oct 2026BTC: down7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: pendingpost ↗
15 Oct 2026BTC: range7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: misspost ↗
15 Oct 2026ETH: up7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: misspost ↗
15 Oct 2026crypto market: bottom is in7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: misspost ↗
15 Oct 2026SOL: up7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: pendingpost ↗
15 Oct 2026BTC: down7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: hitpost ↗
14 Oct 2026ETH: down7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: hitpost ↗
14 Oct 2026crypto market: up7 + 30 d7 d: condition not met30 d: condition not metpost ↗
14 Oct 2026ETH: range7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: misspost ↗
14 Oct 2026BTC: range7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: misspost ↗
13 Oct 2026BTC: down7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: hitpost ↗
30 Sep 2026BTC: range7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: misspost ↗
30 Sep 2026SOL: up7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: misspost ↗
30 Sep 2026BTC: up7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: misspost ↗
30 Sep 2026BTC: range7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: misspost ↗
29 Sep 2026ETH: down7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: hitpost ↗
29 Sep 2026SOL: range7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: misspost ↗
29 Sep 2026altcoins: down7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: hitpost ↗
29 Sep 2026crypto market: down7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: no clear movepost ↗
29 Sep 2026BTC: down7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: no clear movepost ↗
15 Sep 2026BTC: up7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: hitpost ↗
15 Sep 2026crypto market: up7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: no clear movepost ↗
15 Sep 2026SOL: down7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: no clear movepost ↗
14 Sep 2026crypto market: down7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: no clear movepost ↗
14 Sep 2026BTC: down7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: no clear movepost ↗
14 Sep 2026BTC: up7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: no clear movepost ↗
31 Aug 2026ETH: up7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: no clear movepost ↗
31 Aug 2026SOL: down7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: misspost ↗
31 Aug 2026ETH: range7 + 30 d7 d: condition not met30 d: condition not metpost ↗
31 Aug 2026ETH: up7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: no clear movepost ↗
30 Aug 2026BTC: down7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: no clear movepost ↗
30 Aug 2026crypto market: up7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: no clear movepost ↗

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Not financial advice. These are measurements of past public posts, not accusations or endorsements.