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@CryptoCapo_

il Capo · Trader / TA · x.com/CryptoCapo_ · #39 of 40 ranked

Hit rate 33 % (95 % interval 18–54 %) on 32 measured episodes; the best simple baseline on the same dates hit 53 % (7-day trend). Verdict: not distinguishable from the simple baselines.

Stance on BTC 7 days ago: no current view. How we measure →

Predictive33 %

95 % interval 18–54 % · n 32 · best baseline 53 %

not distinguishable from the simple baselines
Economic+0.0 pp

return of following the calls vs always-bullish, per call · 95 % −2.3 pp to +2.4 pp · n 41

no clear difference from always-bullish
Integrity0

of 83 calls later unavailable · promotions 0

By horizon

GroupMeasuredHit rate95 % interval
Stated horizon, 7 days0––
Stated horizon, 30 days0––
No horizon, tested at 7 days2129 %14–50 %
No horizon, tested at 30 days2438 %21–57 %

Calls (older than 7 days)

DateCallHorizonResultPost
4 Nov 2026BTC: up7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: pendingpost ↗
4 Nov 2026crypto market: range7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: pendingpost ↗
3 Nov 2026ETH: up7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: pendingpost ↗
26 Oct 2026BTC: up7 + 30 d7 d: pending30 d: pendingpost ↗
22 Oct 2026BTC: up7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: pendingpost ↗
20 Oct 2026altcoins: up7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: pendingpost ↗
16 Oct 2026BTC: up7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: misspost ↗
12 Oct 2026crypto market: up7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: misspost ↗
5 Oct 2026BTC: top is in7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: pendingpost ↗
25 Sep 2026ETH: up7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: misspost ↗
22 Sep 2026crypto market: down7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: no clear movepost ↗
21 Sep 2026BTC: up> 60 dlong-term (not scored)post ↗
21 Sep 2026BTC: up7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: no clear movepost ↗
21 Sep 2026crypto market: top is in7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: no clear movepost ↗
16 Sep 2026BTC: up7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: hitpost ↗
15 Sep 2026BTC: down7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: misspost ↗
10 Sep 2026BTC: top is in7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: misspost ↗
10 Sep 2026altcoins: down7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: misspost ↗
25 Aug 2026crypto market: down> 60 dlong-term (not scored)post ↗
25 Aug 2026BTC: top is in7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: misspost ↗
21 Aug 2026BTC: up30 d30 d: condition not metpost ↗
20 Aug 2026ETH: up7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: hitpost ↗
20 Aug 2026crypto market: up7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: hitpost ↗
15 Jul 2026BTC: up7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: hitpost ↗
26 Jun 2026BTC: bottom is in7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: no clear movepost ↗
21 Jun 2026crypto market: bottom is in7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: misspost ↗
11 Jun 2026BTC: down7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: no clear movepost ↗
1 Jun 2026crypto market: range> 60 dlong-term (not scored)post ↗
18 May 2026crypto market: up7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: misspost ↗
15 May 2026altcoins: up7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: misspost ↗
13 May 2026crypto market: down7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: hitpost ↗
13 May 2026BTC: up7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: misspost ↗
6 May 2026BTC: down7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: hitpost ↗
9 Apr 2026BTC: down7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: misspost ↗
31 Mar 2026altcoins: bottom is in7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: no clear movepost ↗
23 Mar 2026crypto market: bottom is in7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: no clear movepost ↗
22 Mar 2026BTC: up7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: hitpost ↗
22 Mar 2026altcoins: up7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: no clear movepost ↗
19 Mar 2026crypto market: up7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: hitpost ↗
3 Mar 2026BTC: up7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: no clear movepost ↗

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Not financial advice. These are measurements of past public posts, not accusations or endorsements.