@CredibleCrypto
CrediBULL Crypto · Trader / TA · x.com/CredibleCrypto · #16 of 40 ranked
Hit rate 48 % (95 % interval 35–61 %) on 68 measured episodes; the best simple baseline on the same dates hit 51 % (7-day trend). Verdict: not distinguishable from the simple baselines.
Stance on BTC 7 days ago: no current view. How we measure →
95 % interval 35–61 % · n 68 · best baseline 51 %
not distinguishable from the simple baselinesreturn of following the calls vs always-bullish, per call · 95 % −0.4 pp to +3.0 pp · n 77
no clear difference from always-bullishof 209 calls later unavailable · promotions 8
By horizon
| Group | Measured | Hit rate | 95 % interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stated horizon, 7 days | 6 | 50 % | 19–81 % |
| Stated horizon, 30 days | 1 | 0 % | 0–79 % |
| No horizon, tested at 7 days | 48 | 50 % | 36–64 % |
| No horizon, tested at 30 days | 44 | 48 % | 34–62 % |
Calls (older than 7 days)
| Date | Call | Horizon | Result | Post |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct 2026 | crypto market: bottom is in | 7 + 30 d | 7 d: miss30 d: pending | post ↗ |
| 31 Oct 2026 | BTC: down | 7 + 30 d | 7 d: hit30 d: pending | post ↗ |
| 31 Oct 2026 | altcoins: down | 7 + 30 d | 7 d: hit30 d: pending | post ↗ |
| 31 Oct 2026 | ETH: down | > 60 d | long-term (not scored) | post ↗ |
| 31 Oct 2026 | BTC: up | 7 + 30 d | 7 d: pending30 d: pending | post ↗ |
| 31 Oct 2026 | altcoins: bottom is in | 7 + 30 d | 7 d: miss30 d: pending | post ↗ |
| 31 Oct 2026 | BTC: down | 7 d | 7 d: hit | post ↗ |
| 31 Oct 2026 | altcoins: down | 7 d | 7 d: hit | post ↗ |
| 31 Oct 2026 | BTC: up | 7 + 30 d | 7 d: pending30 d: pending | post ↗ |
| 31 Oct 2026 | SOL: down | 7 + 30 d | 7 d: hit30 d: pending | post ↗ |
| 15 Oct 2026 | altcoins: up | > 60 d | long-term (not scored) | post ↗ |
| 15 Oct 2026 | ETH: up | 7 + 30 d | 7 d: no clear move30 d: miss | post ↗ |
| 15 Oct 2026 | altcoins: bottom is in | 7 + 30 d | 7 d: no clear move30 d: miss | post ↗ |
| 14 Oct 2026 | BTC: up | 7 + 30 d | 7 d: hit30 d: miss | post ↗ |
| 14 Oct 2026 | altcoins: up | 7 + 30 d | 7 d: no clear move30 d: miss | post ↗ |
| 13 Oct 2026 | altcoins: down | 7 + 30 d | 7 d: condition not met30 d: condition not met | post ↗ |
| 13 Oct 2026 | altcoins: down | 7 + 30 d | 7 d: no clear move30 d: hit | post ↗ |
| 28 Sep 2026 | altcoins: up | 7 + 30 d | 7 d: condition not met30 d: condition not met | post ↗ |
| 28 Sep 2026 | BTC: up | 7 + 30 d | 7 d: no clear move30 d: no clear move | post ↗ |
| 28 Sep 2026 | crypto market: bottom is in | 7 + 30 d | 7 d: no clear move30 d: no clear move | post ↗ |
| 26 Sep 2026 | altcoins: up | 7 + 30 d | 7 d: no clear move30 d: miss | post ↗ |
| 15 Sep 2026 | ETH: down | 7 + 30 d | 7 d: miss30 d: no clear move | post ↗ |
| 15 Sep 2026 | altcoins: down | 7 + 30 d | 7 d: condition not met30 d: condition not met | post ↗ |
| 13 Sep 2026 | SOL: range | 7 + 30 d | 7 d: miss30 d: miss | post ↗ |
| 12 Sep 2026 | altcoins: up | > 60 d | long-term (not scored) | post ↗ |
| 12 Sep 2026 | altcoins: bottom is in | 7 + 30 d | 7 d: miss30 d: hit | post ↗ |
| 31 Aug 2026 | meme coins: up | 30 d | 30 d: no clear move | post ↗ |
| 31 Aug 2026 | ETH: up | 7 + 30 d | 7 d: no clear move30 d: no clear move | post ↗ |
| 31 Aug 2026 | altcoins: up | 7 + 30 d | 7 d: hit30 d: hit | post ↗ |
| 31 Aug 2026 | ETH: range | 7 + 30 d | 7 d: condition not met30 d: condition not met | post ↗ |
| 30 Aug 2026 | crypto market: up | > 60 d | long-term (not scored) | post ↗ |
| 15 Aug 2026 | altcoins: range | 7 + 30 d | 7 d: miss30 d: miss | post ↗ |
| 14 Aug 2026 | meme coins: up | 7 + 30 d | 7 d: hit30 d: hit | post ↗ |
| 31 Jul 2026 | BTC: down | 7 d | 7 d: miss | post ↗ |
| 31 Jul 2026 | ETH: range | 7 d | 7 d: hit | post ↗ |
| 31 Jul 2026 | altcoins: bottom is in | 7 + 30 d | 7 d: no clear move30 d: hit | post ↗ |
| 30 Jul 2026 | altcoins: up | 7 + 30 d | 7 d: no clear move30 d: hit | post ↗ |
| 27 Jul 2026 | ETH: up | 7 + 30 d | 7 d: no clear move30 d: hit | post ↗ |
| 27 Jul 2026 | ETH: up | 7 + 30 d | 7 d: no clear move30 d: hit | post ↗ |
| 27 Jul 2026 | ETH: bottom is in | 7 + 30 d | 7 d: condition not met30 d: condition not met | post ↗ |
Members see every account's current stance and the consensus live, without the 7-day delay.
Request accessNot financial advice. These are measurements of past public posts, not accusations or endorsements.