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@AltcoinSherpa

Altcoin Sherpa · Trader / TA · x.com/AltcoinSherpa · #22 of 40 ranked

Hit rate 46 % (95 % interval 37–55 %) on 138 measured episodes; the best simple baseline on the same dates hit 50 % (always bullish). Verdict: not distinguishable from the simple baselines.

Stance on BTC 7 days ago: no current view. How we measure →

Predictive46 %

95 % interval 37–55 % · n 138 · best baseline 50 %

not distinguishable from the simple baselines
Economic+0.3 pp

return of following the calls vs always-bullish, per call · 95 % −2.2 pp to +2.8 pp · n 113

no clear difference from always-bullish
Integrity0

of 343 calls later unavailable · promotions 1

By horizon

GroupMeasuredHit rate95 % interval
Stated horizon, 7 days560 %23–88 %
Stated horizon, 30 days10 %0–79 %
No horizon, tested at 7 days10847 %38–57 %
No horizon, tested at 30 days9844 %34–54 %

Calls (older than 7 days)

DateCallHorizonResultPost
31 Oct 2026altcoins: up7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: pendingpost ↗
31 Oct 2026altcoins: down7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: pendingpost ↗
31 Oct 2026meme coins: range7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: pendingpost ↗
31 Oct 2026BTC: bottom is in> 60 dlong-term (not scored)post ↗
31 Oct 2026crypto market: range> 60 dlong-term (not scored)post ↗
30 Oct 2026altcoins: bottom is in7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: pendingpost ↗
30 Oct 2026altcoins: up7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: pendingpost ↗
30 Oct 2026altcoins: range30 d30 d: pendingpost ↗
30 Oct 2026meme coins: bottom is in7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: pendingpost ↗
29 Oct 2026BTC: range7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: pendingpost ↗
15 Oct 2026altcoins: range7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: misspost ↗
15 Oct 2026BTC: bottom is in7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: pendingpost ↗
14 Oct 2026BTC: range7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: misspost ↗
14 Oct 2026altcoins: up7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: misspost ↗
14 Oct 2026ETH: range7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: misspost ↗
14 Oct 2026crypto market: range7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: misspost ↗
13 Oct 2026altcoins: range7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: misspost ↗
13 Oct 2026ETH: up7 + 30 d7 d: condition not met30 d: condition not metpost ↗
13 Oct 2026BTC: up7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: misspost ↗
13 Oct 2026altcoins: down7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: hitpost ↗
30 Sep 2026altcoins: up7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: misspost ↗
30 Sep 2026BTC: bottom is in7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: misspost ↗
30 Sep 2026altcoins: bottom is in7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: misspost ↗
30 Sep 2026altcoins: up7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: misspost ↗
30 Sep 2026SOL: up7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: misspost ↗
29 Sep 2026altcoins: range7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: misspost ↗
29 Sep 2026crypto market: range7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: misspost ↗
29 Sep 2026meme coins: bottom is in7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: misspost ↗
29 Sep 2026altcoins: down7 + 30 d7 d: no clear move30 d: hitpost ↗
29 Sep 2026BTC: up7 + 30 d7 d: condition not met30 d: condition not metpost ↗
15 Sep 2026altcoins: range7 d7 d: misspost ↗
15 Sep 2026BTC: down7 + 30 d7 d: condition not met30 d: condition not metpost ↗
15 Sep 2026ETH: down7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: no clear movepost ↗
15 Sep 2026crypto market: bottom is in7 d7 d: hitpost ↗
15 Sep 2026meme coins: range7 + 30 d7 d: condition not met30 d: condition not metpost ↗
15 Sep 2026altcoins: bottom is in7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: hitpost ↗
15 Sep 2026BTC: range7 + 30 d7 d: miss30 d: hitpost ↗
14 Sep 2026altcoins: down> 60 dlong-term (not scored)post ↗
14 Sep 2026ETH: up7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: no clear movepost ↗
14 Sep 2026SOL: up7 + 30 d7 d: hit30 d: no clear movepost ↗

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Not financial advice. These are measurements of past public posts, not accusations or endorsements.